NFL Pick'em Confidence Pool Helper

In a confidence pool, you don't just pick the winner of every NFL game — you rank all of them by how sure you are, assigning your most confident pick the highest point value (1 through however many games are on the week's slate). Get a high-confidence pick right and it's worth far more than a low-confidence one, so the ranking matters as much as the picks themselves.

This free tool builds a starting ranking for you by blending two independent signals: DraftKings' own line (moneyline, with the bookmaker's built-in vig removed) and ESPN's own Matchup Predictor model, which is built independently of any sportsbook. Games where the two sources disagree by a lot are flagged — those are the ones worth applying your own judgment to, not the safe chalk picks everyone gets right anyway.

How to use it

• Drag any game (or use the arrows) to move it up or down the confidence order.
• Click either team in a matchup to flip your pick.
• Your picks and season results save locally in your browser — no account needed.

This Week's Blended Confidence Rankings — Week 4

Default ranking for 1 games, blending DraftKings' line with ESPN's own model. Points 1–1, highest confidence first. Open the tool above to drag-reorder, flip any pick, and save your own version.

NFL Home